Since the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) announced their self-proclaimed caliphate in June 2014, the group has expanded its presence throughout Iraq and Syria and has become a significant security threat to the United States by encouraging Homegrown Violent Extremists to execute attacks locally. In order to develop a deeper understanding of ISIS’s overall capabilities, a new joint counterterrorism assessment–produced by the States of New York and New Jersey — will examine key indicators that reflect the overall capabilities of the group.
This product assesses several variables impacting ISIS’s overall capabilities, as compared to an initial analysis in January 2015. Going forward, these five variables and an overall assessment will be updated every two months to reflect current events and to compare changes in the group’s capabilities. The information cut-off for this product is July 31, 2015.